The latest CoreLogic report presents a sobering outlook for New Zealand’s housing affordability. It indicates that Kiwi households are feeling the financial strain due to recent rises in house prices coupled with sustained high interest rates. During the final quarter of 2022, approximately half of household incomes were going towards mortgage repayments. This figure has been consistent for the past two quarters and well exceeds the long-term average of 37%, highlighting the arduousness of the current housing market conditions.
The report also brings to light the disparity in housing affordability across cities. For instance, those living in Tauranga Moana, Tauranga, spend 60% of their income on mortgage repayments, significantly higher than the national average of 49%. This city is also the least affordable for renters, with them allocating 24% of their income towards rent.
However, the Chief Property Economist of CoreLogic, Kelvin Davidson, maintains that this problem of unaffordability may curb the rate of house price growth. He postulates that over the next few years, house prices may only rise roughly in line with incomes. Davidson also expresses his belief that mortgage rates might decrease in the next two years, which would alleviate the issue of housing affordability.
Key Facts Prime Minister Christopher Luxon did not explicitly say he wanted average house prices to fall, seeking only “downward pressure”. Housing Minister Chris Bishop stated that house prices need…